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🏡 Sydney Property Market Shifts as Rate Hikes Bite

Interest rate increases are beginning to reshape Sydney’s property landscape, influencing auction behaviour, rental conditions and the broader policy debate around housing supply.

Here’s what stood out this week.

📉 Auctions Adjust to a Higher Rate Environment

Following recent rate rises from the major banks, auction activity across NSW has softened compared to this time last year. More vendors are choosing certainty, with a higher proportion of homes selling prior to auction as sellers accept strong early offers.

Yet demand hasn’t vanished.

In Sydney’s south-west, a four-bedroom home in Revesby sold for $1.873m — well above reserve — after competitive bidding. Meanwhile, in Neutral Bay, a sub-$1m apartment attracted strong interest from first-home buyers and achieved a result comfortably above expectations.

The pattern is clear: buyers are more cautious, but quality homes in established suburbs continue to perform.

For sellers, accurate pricing and preparation are now critical. For buyers, confidence and decisiveness remain key advantages.

🏘 Rental Market: Slight Relief, Ongoing Pressure

Data from REA Group shows the national vacancy rate has lifted to 1.48% — the highest since early 2022 — but still well below pre-pandemic norms.

Some cities remain extremely tight:

  • Hobart at 0.72% vacancy
  • Perth at 1.11%
  • Brisbane at 1.13%

Sydney’s median weekly rent now sits at $800, maintaining its position as one of the country’s most expensive rental markets.

While vacancy rates have edged higher, rents continue to climb in several capitals, reinforcing that affordability pressures remain deeply entrenched.

💰 Capital Gains Tax Debate Returns

Housing policy is again under the microscope, with discussion around potential changes to capital gains tax concessions.

Shadow Treasurer Tim Wilson has labelled any reduction to the current CGT discount a “revenue grab”, warning it could discourage investment and reduce housing supply.

Others argue reform could rebalance demand, particularly where investors are purchasing existing housing rather than funding new developments.

What’s undeniable is this: supply remains the structural issue. Without a significant lift in new housing construction, affordability challenges will likely persist regardless of tax policy.

🔎 Market Outlook

We are not witnessing a downturn — we are seeing recalibration.

• Buyers are more measured
• Sellers are prioritising certainty
• Rental affordability remains stretched
• Policy uncertainty could influence investor behaviour

In transitional markets like this, strategic guidance matters more than ever.

Rodney McLoughlin continues to closely monitor these developments, helping clients navigate opportunity and risk across the evolving Australian property landscape.

Real Estate Newsletter
This article is a curated summary of various news stories from the past week, offering insights and updates on the real estate market. 27 February 2026

Rodney McLoughlin is a trusted real estate professional with deep insights into the Australian property market. For personalized advice and market expertise, reach out to Rodney today.

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